Carolina Panthers @ Dallas Cowboys
My Prices –
Panthers 1.54 Cowboys 2.95
Vegas Line -
Cowboys -1.5
The Cowboys won last week for the first time in seven games,
the reason, QB Tony Romo, he has returned from injury and provided a major
upgrade, trouble is the rest of the team are still as bad as their record
shows.
Dallas' offensive line was rock solid last year but it
hasn't been the same in 2015, Carolina's front will dominate and get to Romo,
meanwhile WR Bryant will struggle to get open against an elite Panthers
secondary. The Panthers also defend the run very well so I can’t see the
Cowboys having much success on the ground either. This Panthers defence is the
real deal, only just behind Denver on my rankings and way ahead of the rest of
the NFL.
The Panthers' like to run the ball with Cam Newton and Jonathan
Stewart. The Cowboys rank 25th in run defence and this is a bad matchup against
the 5th ranked ground & pound Carolina offense.
The Dallas pass rush is middle of the road(18th
in my Rankings) but they can get to the QB if fired up, Carolinas offensive
line blocks well though and could quite easily neutralise this threat.
Now, Carolina is the heaviest backed team of the day receiving
72% of all bets so why is the spread Panthers +1.5 and who is backing the
Cowboys? It seems to me that Vegas are giving Romo’s return too much weight; I
make this spread Carolina -2.5 and once again we are getting line value on an
unbeaten side.
I’m not going to have a large wager but I’m taking Carolina +1.5 at 1.95 with Matchbook as
they have done nothing wrong this season, match up well here and this line is way out. Be aware though of possible
shenanigans from the Ref’s favouring Dallas as for the life of me I can’t work
out why an unbeaten team is receiving points on the road to a team with a
losing record.
The other two matches don’t really interest me from a
handicap betting perspective and I normally don’t look at or bet the O/U, but
I like the UNDER with the total set at
46 in the Eagles/Lions, both defences match up well against the respective
offences and I can see a low scoring match with both teams cancelling each
other out. I’m backing the under with
Coral at 1.95
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