Week Ten Previews

Carolina Panthers @ Tennessee Titans

My Prices – Panthers 1.54 Titans 2.85

Vegas Line – Panthers – 4.5

The unbeaten Panthers looked unstoppable at times last week against the Packers and they match up very well here against the Titans with the 5^th ranked ground attack going up against the 23^rd ranked ground defence. To their credit the Titans defence do stop the pass and get to the opposing QB very well but Carolina’s offensive line is strong and QB Cam Newton very agile rushing for 343 yards so far this season, add to that the good form of RB Jonathan Stewart and they will be able to move the chains with ease on the ground.

Titans’ rookie QB Mariota is going to have a rough afternoon against the number 2 ranked defence in my rankings, the Panthers have the best defence Tennessee will have faced so far this season and with the Titans offense coming in at 28^th and 26^th through the air and on the ground respectively the Panthers should be able to deal with them with ease.

It seems to me the Panthers are still being underrated by the books and the odds of 2.00 for Carolina -4.5 on Matchbook are a steal. 

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens

My Prices – Jaguars 2.85 Ravens 1.54

Vegas Line – Ravens – 5.5

The Ravens are having a miserable season and their reputation as a top-tier defence is all but gone. The Jaguars have had some success offensively this season, as young QB Bortles has improved and receivers Robinson (40 catches, 707 yards, 6 TDs) and Hurns (36 catches, 635 yards, 6 TDs) have been in superb form. Baltimore rank 28^th against the pass in my defensive rankings, they have not forced a turnover in their last five games and have given up an average of 28 points per game since losing Pro Bowl linebacker Terrell Suggs to injury. It’s safe to say this is a very favourable match up for the Jaguars.

Baltimore QB Flacco will as well have every opportunity to connect with his receivers as the Jaguars are every bit as bad as their hosts against the pass ranking 29^th, trouble is the Ravens offense really has no one capable at that position without Steve Smith who is now out for the season.

With both teams defence’s stout against the run this could turn into a bit of a shootout and even though Jacksonville haven’t won a game on the road since 2013 they are an improved team and have been getting closer to that elusive road victory, there last three road games have been decided by seven points or less.

I can see Baltimore winning in the end as the Jaguars often shoot themselves in the foot, but not by more than 5 points so I’m taking the 1.94 with Matchbook on the Jaguars +5.5

New England Patriots @ New York Giants

My Prices – Patriots 1.41 Giants 3.50 

Vegas Line – Patriots -7

The Patriots even though they're dealing with a number of injuries look to match up well against a Giants defence that constantly leaves gaping holes in coverage, if that defensive ineptitude continues here and there’s no reason why it shouldn’t as they have given up an average of 315 passing yards per game this season Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman will pick them apart. 

The Giants main attack is through the air with Manning targeting Beckham Jnr & Randle who have 96 catches for 1,523 yards and 10 touchdowns between them so far this season and these two need to continue to have an impact as the Patriots secondary has performed well this year grading 8^th in my rankings against the pass so the receivers may not get much separation.

All in all the Patriots will drive down the field with ease as the Giants defence is awful and this will leave Eli Manning with the task of matching Brady score-for-score which he may do for a few quarters but New England will pull away to win by a touchdown.

I’m backing the Patriots -7 at 1.91 with Coral or Skybet.