Thursday, 17 September 2015

Thursday Night Football - Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs



Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
 
My Prices - Broncos 2.40 Chiefs 1.72

Vegas Line - Chiefs -3

It looks like Denver has an outstanding pass rush and its defence is going to be one of the better units in the NFL this season, they are going to bring a tremendous amount of pressure down on Alex Smith in this game.  Defence is where the Bronco’s are at their strongest and they will have to be as Peyton Manning’s arm looks gone, he’s still a top quality QB and his experience and quick thinking will still win plenty of games but here against the Chiefs excellent pass rush he’s going to get hurried like he was last week against the Ravens where he was sacked 4 times. 

Can Denver’s offence get into the redzone before the 4th quarter against the Chiefs is the question I’m asking myself? 

Now, if Denver gets the run game going early which in my opinion they need to as Manning’s arm’s shot we could be in for a close match as the Chiefs run defence and secondary are there weaknesses. 

The Kansas City Chiefs are a team that runs the ball very well and they have one of the best running backs in the league in Jamaal Charles, they will enjoy some success here. Denver’s defence should be able to stop the Chiefs passing game though by shutting down the areas Smith likes to throw to.

I thought this game would be a pick or Chiefs -1, this is an important divisional game for both teams and +3 on the Broncos is a steal, in my opinion it’s an over-reaction to Manning’s physical condition after being beaten up by the Ravens and his inability to throw the football deep. Denver’s defence will keep this game close and if they can run the ball successfully they could even win so all things considered take the +3 Denver at 2.11 with Matchbook.

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