Thursday, 24 September 2015

Thursday Night Football - Washington Redskins at New York Giants



Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
 
My Prices – Redskins 2.55 Giants 1.64

Vegas Line - Giants -3

This divisional game could have huge implications on the direction both these teams take this season, the Redskins had been written off before a ball had been thrown but have put up two decent displays to go 1-1, the Giants however have thrown two victories away in the 4th Quarter with a catalogue of errors and are currently 0-2. 

The Vegas handicap line has been cut from -4 to -3 Giants so despite 70% of public money going on New York the men in the desert are moving the spread towards Washington.

The Redskins Running Backs look useful and there defence has improved massively, especially against the run. The Giants have no pass rush at all and are very weak against the pass but there defence look’s to be top 5 against the run as they held Dallas to 80yds rushing in Week 1 and Atlanta to about 56 on Sunday. The Redskins strength on offence is the run game.

 In the first two games the fourth quarter has been a disaster for New York with delay of game penalties, bad play-calls, fumbles in the red zone and dropped passes are they losing focus late in games? It’s something to watch for tonight as we could get a big swing in the 4th Quarter.

Also pay attention to who suits up for the Giants. The short week will cause some injured players to miss the game. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is definitely out with a concussion and Robert Ayers, Victor Cruz and Ereck Flowers were all listed as missing practice earlier in the week. DRC, Ayers and Flowers could be huge losses for the Giants’ hopes. 

The key to success in my opinion for the Giants is to get Odell Beckham Jr. involved in the game more, he tore Atlanta apart in the first half but for some reason wasn’t targeted by Manning in the 2nd half this needs to change here for the Giants to come away with the win.

I’m not going to advise a handicap bet as I can see a topsy-turvy match with both sides leading at some point so I’m going to stay up and trade the match live, opposing Washington if the price is viable and they are leading early doors, then green up when the Giants strike back. If New York leads early and Washington keep getting stuffed on the run, I’ll wait until the 4th Quarter before entering to see if the Giants continue to shoot themselves in the foot and throw away another winning position.

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