Thursday, 22 October 2015

Thursday Night Football - Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers



Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
 
My Prices – Seahawks 1.54 49ers 2.90

Vegas Line – Seahawks -6.5

The Seahawks blew another 4th quarter lead to lose to the Panthers on Sunday to go to 2-4. Russell Wilson is constantly running for his life as the offensive line cannot block but he manoeuvres the pocket well and either scramble’s for first downs or buys time allowing his receivers to get open. The 49ers currently have the 30th ranked pass rush in the league so Seattle will move the chains through the air. Unfortunately for the 49ers they also have a mediocre rush defence currently ranked 27th in the league, so Lynch should have a dominant performance and he has a good chance of hitting the century mark in this contest.

Kaepernick started the season with two touchdowns and five picks in his first four games, but in the last two games, he’s thrown for 602 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions. Sounds good huh? But they came against the New York Giants and Baltimore Ravens, who have some of the worst pass defences in the league and he will have a tough time dealing with the Seattle pass rush as the 49ers don’t shield him very well, they're in the bottom five in terms of sacks given up.

Seattle has more weapons on both sides of the ball, and will protect it better, as long as the secondary doesn’t self-destruct late on for a third consecutive week they should cover the spread, if the 49ers want to be competitive they're going to have to open the field up against this Seattle defence which I can’t see Kaepernick doing.

What is clear is whichever team comes away with the victory in this contest likely retains the slim hope of making the playoffs. And the loser, well there "done" for the season.

This spread opened up at -4, but it has been bet up to -6.5. I would've loved Seattle at -4 so am going to buy half a point to keep the push on our side and take Seahawks -6 at 1.85 with Matchbook.

I’m also keen on going with Marshawn Lynch over 80.5 rushing yards at 1.91 with Ladbrokes.

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