Week Five Previews

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

My Prices – Jaguars 2.20 Buccaneers 1.85

Vegas Line – Jaguars +3

The Buccaneers rookie QB Jameis Winston was awful last week. He was intercepted four times and lost a fumble. The Jag’s defence can get to the QB as the Buc’s don’t block too well. The Jaguars also have the fourth-best run defence in the league, surrendering only 83 yards on the ground per contest.

This does not bode well for Bucs running back Doug Martin. He carried 20 times for 106 yards and a touchdown and also had five receptions for 37 yards last Sunday but will need to step up again here against the best run defence he’s faced all season.

If the Buc’s best corner-back Jonathan Banks is forced to miss the game his absence would be a huge blow to the Tampa secondary.

Jacksonville on the other hand have looked much improved this season and outplayed the Colts last week, but two missed field goals by Jason Myers, including one in overtime, allowed the Colts to escape with an overtime win.

The Buccaneers have allowed more than 130 yards on the ground per game this season so TJ Yeldon could have another BIG game, the Jags will have to ground and pound as Tampa have the second-best pass defence in the league.

The Bucs have lost three games by double-digit margins. Two of those losses are against the Texans and Titans, two teams that are a combined 0-6 in their other games.

The 3 points is too much to give Jacksonville in my opinion as they seem to be a bad team on the up and Tampa is just a bad team plain and simple. Take Jacksonville +3 at 2.10 with Titanbet.

Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders

 

My Prices – Broncos 1.58 Raiders 2.70

Vegas Line – Raiders +5

What the Broncos' defence is doing this season is pretty amazing; they're completely carrying the team as legendary QB Manning has been very poor by his standards throwing five interceptions to just six touchdowns.

The Broncos will have to run the ball well here to move the chains consistently, which they've struggled to do so far this season, the Raiders defence is much improved and Denver’s offensive line is awful with no sign of getting better.

Oakland are playing some really good football and the Derek Carr-Amari Cooper combination has thrived over the past 3 games but Denver has the top defence in the NFL, so it will definitely limit the Raider’s scoring attack. 

In the last two meetings Denver have outscored Oakland 88-31 but this is an improved Raiders team who will be up for this divisional game and I see them determined not to get thrashed again, they may lose but it will be tight due to Denver’s inept offensive unit. Take the Raiders +5 at 1.83 with Bet365.

Seattle Seahawks @ Cincinnati Bengals

 

My Prices – Seahawks 2.38 Bengals 1.72

Vegas Line – Bengals -3

The Seahawks are struggling to protect QB Russell Wilson; I think that the thought process in Seattle’s front office was that they have a QB who dodges defenders and an RB who breaks tackles, so they don't have to invest much in the Offensive Line. It's worked for them in the past, but they might have stretched that theory to breaking point this year and now must contend with a Cincinnati defence that has 11 sacks already this season.

The defensive unit has stepped up since the return of Kam Chancellor, and it is likely that they will have to do so again this week against a Bengals offense including A.J. Green, Andy Dalton and a combination of running backs in Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard, that’s just so many ways to hurt you.

Cincinnati has many more offensive weapons than Seattle, there in much better form and as long as they can avoid turning over the ball they will win. I’m going with the Bengals -3 at 2.00 with Bet365.

Chicago Bears @ Kansas City Chiefs

 

My Prices – Bears 4.00 Chiefs 1.34

Vegas Line – Bears +10

The Bears are not as bad as their first three games may have suggested and after a last-second win against the Raiders at home I like Chicago’s chances of keeping this match close. The Chiefs downfall this year has actually been their defence; their secondary has the fourth-worst coverage grade in the league and they've surrendered 90-plus yards on the ground to opposing backs in three of their four games this season. Matt Forte should have a HUGE game and he'll be the catalyst for some scoring drives from the Bears.

The Chiefs are better than they have shown so far, their three losses have come against the Broncos, Packers and Bengals, who have a combined 12-0 record, and really they should win here at home but giving double digits is huge and I’m confident the Bears can cover the spread. Take Chicago +10 at 1.82 with Matchbook.