Saturday, 31 October 2015

Week Eight Previews



Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons

My Prices – Buccaneers 3.80 Falcons 1.29

Vegas Line – Falcons -7

Tampa's secondary really is awful and Falcons QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones could go to town here in the Georgia Dome, the Buccaneers rank 29th against the pass in my Defensive rankings and with Jones back to full fitness now we could get another blowout in the dome as Tampa Bay has really struggled in the red zone giving up far too many easy touchdown passes, that will kill them here facing top quality receivers.

The Falcons RB Devonta Freeman doesn't have as good of a matchup unfortunately as the Buccaneers rank 9th against the run and they have limited their previous three opponents to an average of 50 yards. 

Buccaneers rookie QB Winston looked good last week against the Redskins but the Atlanta defence is a lot stouter than Washington’s so this will be a different test. Tampa have a pair of decent RB in Doug Martin and Charles Sims to call upon but the Falcons have surrendered 80 or more yards on the ground to just one opponent in seven games.

Because of injuries to Vincent Jackson and Louis Murphy the Bucs are short at receiver this week so Tampa’s only legitimate threat Mike Evans will be well covered.

Tampa doesn’t have the weapons to hurt Atlanta on the road and like last year Atlanta will be looking at blowing out there divisional rivals.

I like Atlanta at home against a weak team with injuries and I’m backing the Falcons -7 @ 1.95 with Coral


Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys

My Prices – Seahawks 1.40 Cowboys 3.10

Vegas Line – Seahawks – 5.5

Despite blowing out the 49ers the Seahawks offensive line gave up five sacks to a defence that didn't register a single sack in the previous two games, in fact the 49ers are propping up the table in my defensive ratings. SO the question is if Seattle couldn't protect against the 49ers’ how will they cope with the Dallas pass rush? 

The good thing is they will be able to run the ball through Lynch and to a certain extent Wilson as the Cowboys run defence has been very poor this year.

Dallas RB Darren McFadden looked good last week, but I don’t think he’ll find as much room to run against the Seahawks this will force the Cowboys QB Cassel to step up. 

The Cowboys would've won last week had Cassel not made some very questionable throws and the Seahawks fabled secondary will be looking forward to this match up.

I can see both offences struggling here in what should be a low-scoring game. The Cowboys will dominate the trenches but Seattle will pull off the victory.... just, so with that in mind I’m going to buy half a point to keep the push on our side and take Dallas +6 at 1.87 with Sportingbet.


Check back tomorrow morning and I will have a couple of other games previewed,  I wanted to wait for a few things to settle before advising any other bets.

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